Bias Free Sports now featured on CFBPredictions!

Bias Free Sports is pleased and excited to learn we will be one of the featured analytical models on CFBPredictions this season!  This innovative web site allows users to compete in contests making predictions about the college football contests each week.   Be sure to check them out!  And to see all of our matchups for the upcoming weekend either go their site or check out our college football page at Bias Free Sports!

Texas Rangers move back to the top spot in MLB team computer rankings

The Texas Rangers have taken over the top spot in the latest MLB team computer rankings just released by Bias Free Sports, moving the Washington Nationals back to second place.  The Los Angeles Dodgers, who just made the big move to acquire substantial talent for the playoff run, can’t seem to get any traction going, and have fallen back to 12th, while the Pittsburgh Pirates not only have shot themselves in the foot since the All-Star break, they apparently have blown off their hands as well, falling to 15th and apparently out of the playoff picture unless they can get things straightened out quickly.  To see the ratings for all 30 teams, go to www.biasfreerankings.com/mlb.htm, where you can now also get ratings for the NFL and NCAA football!

SOS Avg. Runs Avg. Runs
Rating W L SOS Ranking Scored Allowed
1 Texas 7.955 77 52 4.64 19 5.16 4.27
2 Washington 7.878 77 51 4.59 27 4.30 3.59
3 NY Yankees 7.809 75 54 4.63 22 4.84 4.07
4 Cincinnati 7.782 79 52 4.57 28 4.36 3.79
5 Atlanta 7.717 74 56 4.65 18 4.55 3.86
6 St. Louis 7.636 71 58 4.55 30 4.90 3.98
7 Tampa Bay 7.517 70 59 4.68 13 4.19 3.64
8 Chi White Sox 7.486 71 57 4.59 26 4.71 4.18
9 Oakland 7.478 71 57 4.68 12 4.06 3.70
10 San Francisco 7.426 72 57 4.63 21 4.27 4.02
11 Detroit 7.343 69 59 4.67 17 4.59 4.35
12 LA Dodgers 7.234 69 61 4.60 25 4.02 3.82
13 LA Angels 7.231 67 62 4.71 5 4.68 4.49
14 Baltimore 7.229 71 57 4.74 2 4.23 4.54
15 Pittsburgh 7.220 69 60 4.60 24 4.16 4.01

An overview of the top AL and NL pitchers by pitch count

I am back from vacation and was looking at my stats from Word Press recently, and it seems like the biggest hits I get are from posts about pitch counts for MLB pitchers, and in particular with Stephen Strasburg.  Well, let’s add to our hit total!  Here are Bias Free Sports top 30 pitchers in the AL and NL ranked in order by their total pitch count.  You can see that Stephen Strasburg is only the 45th highest ranked pitcher when it comes to total pitches (“TP”) while averaging under 95 pitches a game (“p/Gm”). Some of the numbers would be misleading, however.  Justin Verlander leads all pitchers in pitch count, but he also leads in innings pitched (190 innings compared to 187 for Felix Hernandez).  But comparing Verlander to Hernandez is interesting, because Hernandez has about 250 less pitches than Verlander in 3 less innings.  That is an amazing number.  To see the TP for all the top pitchers in the NL and AL, go to www.biasfreerankings.com/mlbplayerratings.htm.

RK Player Team GP GS IP W L ERA BB K TP WHIP Rating p/Gm
1 Justin Verlander DET 26 26 190 12 7 2.500 47 192 2964 1.000 35.200 114.00
2 James Shields TB 26 26 175 12 7 4.010 47 168 2842 1.290 31.000 109.31
3 C.J. Wilson LAA 27 27 164 9 9 3.830 72 141 2797 1.320 25.450 103.59
4 Johnny Cueto CIN 26 26 174 16 6 2.470 40 139 2780 1.140 33.790 106.92
5 Jake Peavy CHW 25 25 175 9 9 3.090 37 155 2747 1.080 27.830 109.88
6 Yovani Gallardo MIL 26 26 161 13 8 3.620 62 163 2745 1.280 31.900 105.58
7 Justin Masterson CLE 27 27 168 10 11 4.600 72 133 2738 1.430 24.770 101.41
8 Jason Vargas SEA 27 27 180 13 8 3.750 45 111 2732 1.160 26.690 101.19
9 Clayton Kershaw LAD 26 26 178 11 7 2.870 42 175 2726 1.000 32.130 104.85
10 Madison Bumgarner SF 26 26 178 14 8 2.930 36 165 2719 1.020 34.050 104.58
11 David Price TB 25 25 170 16 4 2.280 50 167 2713 1.070 36.850 108.52
12 Felix Hernandez SEA 26 26 187 12 5 2.540 45 179 2711 1.040 33.820 104.27
13 Cole Hamels PHI 25 25 177 14 6 2.990 45 172 2706 1.120 34.590 108.24
14 Jon Lester BOS 26 26 161 8 10 4.980 50 139 2697 1.360 23.060 103.73
15 Matt Cain SF 25 25 174 13 5 2.830 33 159 2652 1.010 32.560 106.08
16 Hiroki Kuroda NYY 26 26 175 12 9 2.980 40 131 2641 1.100 28.520 101.58
17 Edinson Volquez SD 26 26 148 8 9 4.180 89 143 2640 1.430 24.190 101.54
18 Zack Greinke LAA 27 27 162 11 5 3.870 43 155 2628 1.270 28.860 97.33
19 Ian Kennedy ARI 26 26 162 11 11 4.440 42 144 2620 1.350 27.110 100.77
20 Max Scherzer DET 25 25 147 13 6 4.270 52 186 2615 1.370 33.460 104.60
21 R.A. Dickey NYM 27 26 182 16 4 2.760 41 183 2613 1.020 38.020 96.78
22 Gio Gonzalez WAS 26 26 159 16 7 3.280 60 168 2576 1.160 35.860 99.08
23 Mat Latos CIN 26 26 161 10 4 3.840 50 145 2568 1.210 26.950 98.77
24 Matt Harrison TEX 25 25 169 15 7 3.040 48 101 2548 1.220 28.340 101.92
25 Yu Darvish TEX 23 23 147 12 9 4.510 80 172 2538 1.420 30.770 110.35
26 Phil Hughes NYY 25 25 149 12 11 4.150 35 125 2526 1.270 26.580 101.04
27 Matt Moore TB 25 25 150 10 7 3.600 66 145 2520 1.330 27.070 100.80
28 Jonathon Niese NYM 25 25 159 10 7 3.510 40 134 2513 1.150 26.240 100.52
29 Homer Bailey CIN 25 25 153 10 8 4.110 43 117 2504 1.390 23.700 100.16
30 Trevor Cahill ARI 25 25 156 9 10 3.860 59 115 2503 1.320 22.820 100.12
31 Wei-Yin Chen BAL 25 25 151 12 7 3.870 48 122 2475 1.260 26.570 99.00
32 Lance Lynn STL 25 25 144 13 5 3.930 55 144 2474 1.340 29.630 98.96
33 Ivan Nova NYY 25 25 157 11 7 4.920 50 139 2471 1.460 26.020 98.84
34 Ryan Vogelsong SF 24 24 155 11 7 2.900 52 122 2467 1.190 26.610 102.79
35 Kyle Lohse STL 26 26 169 13 2 2.610 32 104 2458 1.080 27.210 94.54
36 Adam Wainwright STL 25 25 160 12 10 3.650 38 154 2456 1.190 30.060 98.24
37 James McDonald PIT 25 25 152 11 6 3.730 60 135 2454 1.220 27.050 98.16
38 Jeff Samardzija CHC 25 25 151 8 11 4.090 54 153 2435 1.270 25.440 97.40
39 Chris Capuano LAD 26 26 162 11 9 3.380 46 145 2433 1.180 28.440 93.58
40 Mark Buehrle MIA 25 25 161 11 11 3.690 31 95 2428 1.200 23.110 97.12
41 Jake Westbrook STL 25 25 159 13 9 3.670 43 96 2401 1.300 25.130 96.04
42 Chad Billingsley LAD 25 25 149 10 9 3.550 45 128 2384 1.290 25.460 95.36
43 Tommy Milone OAK 24 24 153 10 9 3.870 30 112 2379 1.190 23.640 99.13
44 Jordan Zimmermann WAS 25 25 156 9 7 2.540 29 116 2378 1.120 24.440 95.12
45 Stephen Strasburg WAS 25 25 145 15 5 2.850 43 183 2359 1.110 36.840 94.36
46 J.A. Happ TOR 26 22 134 9 10 4.680 49 129 2343 1.370 23.350 90.12
47 Anibal Sanchez DET 24 24 148 7 10 4.380 43 129 2328 1.360 21.660 97.00
48 Tommy Hanson ATL 24 24 137 12 6 4.400 59 123 2326 1.470 25.930 96.92
49 Chris Sale CHW 23 22 153 15 4 2.650 36 150 2324 1.030 33.820 101.04
50 Wade Miley ARI 25 22 151 14 8 2.800 27 109 2306 1.110 28.490 92.24
51 Paul Maholm ATL 25 24 150 11 8 3.470 40 107 2289 1.170 24.560 91.56
52 Gavin Floyd CHW 23 23 136 9 9 4.560 52 113 2281 1.420 21.820 99.17
53 CC Sabathia NYY 21 21 149 13 3 3.440 36 149 2260 1.180 30.780 107.62
54 A.J. Burnett PIT 23 23 151 15 4 3.630 48 133 2256 1.250 30.920 98.09
55 Jered Weaver LAA 23 23 148 16 3 2.740 33 113 2250 0.980 31.080 97.83
56 Clay Buchholz BOS 22 22 145 11 4 4.470 46 96 2200 1.320 22.310 100.00
57 Felix Doubront BOS 22 22 122 10 6 4.700 52 119 2183 1.470 23.230 99.23
58 Bartolo Colon OAK 24 24 152 10 9 3.430 23 91 2141 1.210 21.960 89.21
59 Ryan Dempster TEX 21 21 135 8 6 2.990 37 112 2084 1.140 22.570 99.24
60 Jason Hammel BAL 18 18 109 8 6 3.540 39 106 1806 1.240 21.320 100.33

A few days off before football season

Just a note that I am heading to Martha’s Vineyard and Boston for a few days of R&R before the hectic football season starts. The end of the year football rankings for both the NFL and NCAA are now on the website.   Go to http://www.biasfreerankings.com and follow the links at the top of the page. If you have any comments or questions about the rankings, leave a comment on this page and I’ll respond as quickly as possible!

How many starts does Strasburg have left?

A lot of debate has been generated around the supposed “shut-down” of a currently healthy Stephen Strasburg after he reaches around 160 or so innings.  Bias Free Sports has taken a look at the 5 of the top 8 pitchers in the National League in Bias Free Sports’ computer rankings, each of which has pitched 24 games.   When comparing these five pitchers, the first thing that jumps out first of all is the number of innings pitched by the other four pitchers.  Cole Hamels has pitched 32 more innings in the same number of appearances than Strasburg; Cain 28 more and Bumgardner 24 more.  Interestingly, Gio Gonzalez, prior to today’s start, had pitched only 8 innings more, indicating that manager Davey Johnson is of the mind to go to his pen earlier and more often than other managers.

Player GP GS IP W L ERA BB K TP WHIP Rating p/Gm
Stephen Strasburg 24 24 139 14 5 2.910 42 173 2265 1.130 34.760 94.38
Cole Hamels 24 24 171 14 6 2.940 42 168 2597 1.110 34.250 108.21
Gio Gonzalez 24 24 147 15 6 3.290 56 158 2362 1.140 33.870 98.42
Madison Bumgarner 24 24 163 13 7 2.970 32 150 2492 1.010 31.520 103.83
Matt Cain 24 24 167 12 5 2.900 33 154 2551 1.010 30.990 106.29

The second number that stands out is the number of pitches thrown. Strasburg and Gonzalez have under 100 pitches per game.  Of course, they are pitching fewer innings so they should have fewer total pitches.  But if the Nationals limit Strasburg to 95 pitches per game (his current average is 16.29 pitches per inning), he would pitch right at 6 innings a start.  This would net him about 5 more starts to get him to 170 innings.  The Nationals have 41 games left, and with Strasburg pitching every fifth day, that would take him down with about 16 games to go in the season.  The Nationals could skip him a couple of times in the rotation and try to stretch that to the last week of the season, but it doesn’t appear that there is any way that he’ll make it beyond the second week of September, based on these numbers.   To get the player rankings for all the pitchers in the NL and AL, head to www.biasfreerankings.com/mlbplayerrankings.htm.

Washington, NY Yankees continue to lead MLB teams in latest rankings

The Washington Nationals continue to lead all of MLB in the latest team computer rankings just released by Bias Free Sports, just edging out the NY Yankees.  The Pittsburgh Pirates continue their free fall down the rankings, falling to 13th after being as high as fifth at the All-Star break.  You can see the rankings for all 30 teams by going to www.biasfreerankings.com/mlb.htm.

 

SOS Avg. Runs Avg. Runs Prev
Rating W L SOS Ranking Scored Allowed Rank
1 Washington 8.051 73 45 4.58 27 4.45 3.56 1
2 NY Yankees 7.998 70 47 4.65 19 4.96 4.04 2
3 Cincinnati 7.870 71 46 4.57 28 4.31 3.63 3
4 Atlanta 7.798 68 49 4.65 20 4.68 3.94 5
5 Texas 7.738 67 49 4.66 17 5.02 4.40 4
6 St. Louis 7.630 64 53 4.54 30 4.92 3.98 6
7 Chi White Sox 7.504 64 52 4.60 24 4.73 4.14 7
8 Tampa Bay 7.410 63 54 4.69 12 4.08 3.72 8
9 LA Dodgers 7.376 65 53 4.57 29 3.99 3.69 9
10 LA Angels 7.333 62 56 4.68 14 4.67 4.30 12
11 Detroit 7.328 63 55 4.69 13 4.63 4.42 14
12 San Francisco 7.292 64 54 4.61 22 4.25 4.03 10
13 Pittsburgh 7.268 64 53 4.59 25 4.15 4.03 11
14 Oakland 7.265 61 55 4.72 5 4.02 3.83 13
15 Baltimore 7.173 64 53 4.75 2 4.21 4.56 15

A brief thought on Chad Johnson

My great fear is that Chad Johnson was cut not because he allegedly headbutted his wife, but because he could no longer produce at a high level on the field.   I know the NFL (and all professional leagues) are in a business that demands success, and the pressures are great on coaches and GM’s to produce winners, but I believe it says a lot about us as a society when we put athletes on a pedestal and don’t care what they do off the field as long as they perform at a high level on the field. That message will be communicated loud and clear when another team who needs receiving help signs Johnson off the waiver wire. Teams need to send a message that violence against women will never be tolerated, but I’m afraid that in professional sports, the only thing that won’t be tolerated is losing.  And that is the pity of it all.