Bias Free Sports’ Computer Picks for Week 8 NCAA Football Games

Here are Bias Free Sports’ computer picks for this weekend’s games (October 18th-20th) utilizing our ELO ranking model.  The home field advantage is built into the match ups.  If the number under “difference” is negative, that means the visiting team is favored.  If the number is positive, the home team is favored.  For example, Northern Illinois is projected to beat Akron by 30.93 points (actually 31, as you would round up or down to the nearest whole number).  The current line is Northern Illinois is favored by 14, so we would project that Northern Illinois would win and cover the spread.  Conversely, Clemson is favored in our rankings by 2.43 points over Virginia Tech (so 2 points), but the spread is that Clemson is favored by 8.5 points, so we would say that Clemson should win, but not cover the spread.  You can view all the team rankings by going to www.biasfreerankings.com/NCAAfbratings.html.

Difference Current
Home Rating Visitor Rating (H+HFA)-V Line
Air Force 60.99 New Mexico 62.29 2.70 0.0
Akron 44.11 Northern Illinois 79.05 -30.93 -14.0
Arizona 60.00 Washington 55.92 8.08 7.5
Arizona State 78.45 Oregon 92.29 -9.84 -9.5
Boise State 76.34 UNLV 52.24 28.10 27.5
Buffalo 45.79 Pittsburgh 59.66 -9.87 -10.5
California 68.69 Stanford 69.00 3.68 -2.5
Central Michigan 45.17 Ball State 62.46 -13.29 -3.0
Clemson 70.72 Virginia Tech 72.29 2.43 8.5
Duke 63.21 North Carolina 83.07 -15.85 -10.0
East. Michigan 43.39 Army 50.10 -2.70 -2.5
Florida 82.53 South Carolina 84.49 2.03 3.0
Fresno State 73.68 Wyoming 55.41 22.26 16.5
Georgia Tech 55.15 Boston College 46.87 12.28 14.0
Iowa 65.59 Penn State 76.14 -6.56 3.0
Kent State 67.91 West. Michigan 60.06 11.85 3.5
Kentucky 45.93 Georgia 78.10 -28.17 -28.5
Louisiana Tech 76.49 Idaho 35.55 44.93 31.5
Louisville 69.72 South Florida 57.63 16.10 7.0
Maryland 61.49 NC State 69.08 -3.60 -3.5
Massachusetts 34.21 Bowling Green 58.62 -20.41 -17.5
Memphis 42.10 UCF 65.52 -19.41 -24.0
Miami (Fla.) 58.15 Florida State 82.37 -20.22 -17.5
Michigan 84.31 Michigan St. 64.53 23.78 10.0
Mississippi St. 75.42 Mid. Tennessee 64.22 15.20 20.0
Navy 59.27 Indiana 57.61 5.66 3.5
Nevada 70.74 San Diego St. 69.92 4.81 7.5
North Texas 56.53 La. Lafayette 66.58 -6.05 -4.0
Northwestern 68.14 Nebraska 68.20 3.94 -4.5
Notre Dame 83.98 BYU 69.06 18.92 14.0
Ohio State 74.84 Purdue 58.31 20.53 17.0
Oklahoma 86.69 Kansas 52.32 38.37 35.0
Oklahoma St. 71.52 Iowa State 71.19 4.33 13.5
Oregon State 74.98 Utah 54.54 24.43 11.0
SMU 52.66 Houston 69.46 -12.80 -6.0
South Alabama 44.43 Florida Atlantic 46.94 1.48 3.0
Southern Miss 49.11 Marshall 54.67 -1.56 2.5
Syracuse 56.08 Connecticut 57.04 3.04 4.0
TCU 72.38 Texas Tech 82.96 -6.58 -2.5
Temple 66.54 Rutgers 72.78 -2.24 -6.0
Tennessee 63.61 Alabama 96.87 -29.26 -21.0
Texas 70.09 Baylor 67.61 6.48 10.0
Texas A&M 88.95 LSU 77.16 15.79 -3.0
Texas San Antonio 62.44 San Jose State 66.94 -0.50 -13.5
Toledo 70.77 Cincinnati 79.58 -4.80 -7.0
Troy 65.66 Florida Int. 46.03 23.63 6.5
Tulsa 70.54 Rice 55.49 19.05 21.0
UAB 48.45 East Carolina 62.08 -9.63 -3.0
Southern Cal 74.01 Colorado 39.15 38.86 40.0
UTEP 47.92 Tulane 35.42 16.49 16.0
Utah State 74.40 New Mexico State 39.42 38.98 30.0
Vanderbilt 52.55 Auburn 53.57 2.98 7.0
Virginia 46.95 Wake Forest 54.54 -3.59 4.5
West Virginia 68.25 Kansas State 85.00 -12.75 3.0
West. Kentucky 72.40 La. Monroe 78.17 -1.77 3.0
Wisconsin 72.22 Minnesota 58.13 18.08 0.0
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