A tough week for everyone last week as there were a lot of close games, but hopefully this week fares better for everyone (although honestly, how many people had Tampa Bay winning AT Minnesota?). This week’s NFL computer projections from Bias Free Sports are shown below. Note that the home field advantage is already built in. If the difference is negative, then the visiting team is favored, if positive, then the home team is projected to win. For example, the Giants are favored by 4.27 points over the Cowboys (round to the nearest half point, so actually 4.5 points). Vegas says they are a 2 point favorite, so we would say not only would they win, but they would cover the spread. You can see all of our NFL team ratings by going to our free site at www.biasfreerankings.com/NFL_ratings.html. [UPDATE 10/27] Note that there is a slight change from the previous posting to reflect that St. Louis and New England are playing on a neutral field.
|St. Louis||39.31||New England||40.75||(1.44)||(7.0)|