Bias Free Sports’ NFL computer predictions for Week 17

At last, the end of the regular season, and with it, some teams (and their fans) can finally be put out of their misery, like Arizona, Jacksonville, Kansas City and Buffalo.  The best part of the year, the playoffs, begins next week, and we’ll continue our computer predictions right through to the Super Bowl.  You can get all our NBA, NFL and NCAA football predictions for free (it’s not a subscription service trying to have you buy Vegas picks!) at www.biasfreerankings.com.  Here is what our computer spit out for this weekend’s NFL games (remember a positive number in the difference column means the home team is favored, a negative number means the visiting team is favored, and the home field advantage of 3 points is added in already):

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff  Line
Atlanta 71.11 Tampa Bay 53.32 20.79 5.0
Buffalo 55.01 NY Jets 56.04   1.97 3.0
Cincinnati 71.51 Baltimore 65.31   9.20 2.5
Denver 77.02 Kansas City 49.22 30.80 16.0
Detroit 52.38 Chicago 64.40 (9.01) (3.0)
Indianapolis 59.86 Houston 60.73  2.14 (6.5)
Minnesota 66.66 Green Bay 73.11 (3.44) (3.0)
New England 76.86 Miami 62.41 17.45 10.5
New Orleans 66.33 Carolina 66.71  2.62  4.5
NY Giants 63.15 Philadelphia 51.65 14.50  7.0
Pittsburgh 60.24 Cleveland 59.72  3.52 10.0
San Diego 60.17 Oakland 51.80 11.37 10.0
San Francisco 69.39 Arizona 51.43 20.96 16.5
Seattle 85.06 St. Louis 60.75 27.31 11.0
Tennessee 52.21 Jacksonville 48.30   6.91   4.0
Washington 69.46 Dallas 64.76  7.71   3.0

Tooting My Own Horn

I typically don’t try to shout my own praises, because those who do inevitably have to spend more time defending their own deficiencies, but I was the only prognosticator (out of more than 50) on The Prediction Tracker (www.thepredictiontracker.com) to have accurately predicted the Central Michigan outright win over Western Kentucky.  We’ve had a pretty good start to the bowl season, which probably means we’re due to lose the next 10 games.  You can keep track of all our predictions by going to our web site at www.biasfreerankings.com, or go to The Prediction Tracker to see how our computer predictions stack up with everyone else’s!

Bias Free Sports NBA computer predictions for December 24th

Happy holidays!  Below are Bias Free Sports’ computer predictions for the NBA Christmas Eve games–we’ll also post tomorrow our predictions for the heavy slate of Christmas Day games.  You can see all the NBA team ratings (as well as NFL and NCAA football ratings) at www.biasfreerankings.com (note–a positive number means the home team is favored, a negative number means the visiting team is favored, and the ratings include a home court advantage of 3 points):

 Difference
Home Rating Visitor  Rating  (H+HFA)-V
Brooklyn 92.08 Boston 90.49           4.59
Chicago 94.47 Houston 100.21          (2.73)
LA Clippers 104.08 Denver 98.55           8.52
LA Lakers 94.88 New York 95.72           2.16
Miami 102.31 Oklahoma City 100.00           5.31

Bias Free Sports NFL Computer Predictions for Week 16

Here are Bias Free Sports’ computer predictions for Week 16 NFL games (remember that if the number in the difference column is positive, the home team is favored–if the number is negative, the visiting team is favored)–you can see all our NFL ratings (as well as NCAA bowl predictions and NBA predictions) by going to www.biasfreerankings.com:

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff  Line
Detroit 53.13 Atlanta 70.21 (14.08) (3.5)
Arizona 51.13 Chicago 62.54 (8.41) (5.5)
Baltimore 62.20 NY Giants 67.65 (2.45) (2.5)
Carolina 65.09 Oakland 50.70 17.39 8.0
Dallas 65.44 New Orleans 65.67 2.78 3.0
Denver 75.75 Cleveland 60.70 18.05 13.5
Green Bay 65.13 Tennessee 56.27 11.86 12.5
Houston 65.92 Minnesota 61.51 7.41 7.5
Jacksonville 46.95 New England 79.81 (29.86) (14.5)
Kansas City 49.46 Indianapolis 60.73 (8.27) (6.5)
Miami 61.24 Buffalo 55.49 8.75 4.5
NY Jets 56.85 San Diego 56.70 3.15 2.5
Philadelphia 51.50 Washington 68.40 (13.90) (7.0)
Pittsburgh 60.03 Cincinnati 71.55 (8.52) 4.0
Seattle 79.78 San Francisco 74.17 8.62 (1.0)
Tampa Bay 57.65 St. Louis 59.25 1.40 3.0

Bias Free Sports NFL computer rankings

Here are Bias Free Sports’ computer rankings of each NFL team following Week 15 games–you can see the complete rankings at http://www.biasfreerankings.com:

ELO
Rating W L SOS
1 New England 76.806 10 4 62.224
2 Denver 73.745 11 3 61.599
3 San Francisco 73.376 10.5 3.5 62.746
4 Seattle 72.411 9 5 61.566
5 Atlanta 71.482 12 2 61.136
6 Houston 70.828 12 2 59.952
7 NY Giants 69.789 8 6 64.957
8 Chicago 68.845 8 6 62.860
9 Green Bay 67.548 10 4 61.722
10 Baltimore 66.473 9 5 62.621
11 Cincinnati 65.690 8 6 59.816
12 Washington 65.034 8 6 63.294
13 Dallas 63.506 8 6 64.034
14 New Orleans 63.155 6 8 62.878
15 Pittsburgh 62.845 7 7 61.099
16 Tampa Bay 62.736 6 8 62.775
17 Minnesota 62.650 8 6 60.773
18 Carolina 60.813 5 9 64.189
19 San Diego 60.750 5 9 62.179
20 Miami 60.448 6 8 61.818
21 St. Louis 58.464 6.5 7.5 63.893
22 NY Jets 58.435 6 8 63.702
23 Cleveland 58.155 5 9 60.973
24 Indianapolis 58.133 9 5 59.198
25 Detroit 57.638 4 10 61.540
26 Arizona 57.391 5 9 64.795
27 Buffalo 55.117 5 9 63.005
28 Philadelphia 52.813 4 10 63.165
29 Tennessee 52.738 5 9 60.539
30 Oakland 50.329 4 10 61.667
31 Kansas City 47.592 2 12 61.367
32 Jacksonville 47.017 2 12 60.552

Bias Free Sports NFL Teaser of the Day

I rarely bet on sports because of the unpredictability of it all–I mean, do you really want to place money on whether a nineteen year old kid can hit a free throw in front of 18,000 screaming fans?  But I’m in Vegas today, and this is the only time I allow myself this luxury.  Here’s what I’m doing today, so you can play along at home (but I don’t advise you to):

Packers -3  straight bet

13 point teaser:

Packers +10
Buccaneers +17
Vikings  +16
Vikings-Rams under 52

EDIT:  I added another teaser for the afternoon games:

Cowboys +14
Detroit +6
Buffalo +19
Carolina +16

Good luck to me and to everyone else today!

Bias Free Sports NFL Computer Predictions for Week 15

Here are Bias Free Sports week 15 computer predictions for the games on Sunday and Monday.  We are have one correct with the blowout on Thursday night by Cincinnati. Remember that a positive number means the home team is favored and a negative number means the visiting team is favored.  You can see all our NCAA Bowl Game predictions as well as the daily NBA predictions, at our free web site (no subscriptions!) at http://www.biasfreerankings.com.

 Difference  Current
Home Rating Visitor  Rating  (H+HFA)-V  Line
Philadelphia 51.13 Cincinnati 72.07           (17.94)             (3.0)
Arizona 45.08 Detroit 58.70           (10.62)             (6.5)
Atlanta 63.02 NY Giants 72.18              (6.16)                1.5
Baltimore 66.78 Denver 75.02              (5.24)             (3.0)
Buffalo 59.67 Seattle 75.14           (12.47)             (5.0)
Chicago 64.47 Green Bay 65.10                2.37             (2.5)
Cleveland 64.35 Washington 66.80                0.55             (1.0)
Dallas 64.76 Pittsburgh 63.02                4.74             (2.0)
Houston 66.33 Indianapolis 63.21                6.12             10.0
Miami 58.81 Jacksonville 49.40              12.41                7.5
New England 85.89 San Francisco 71.88              17.01                4.5
New Orleans 60.26 Tampa Bay 63.33              (0.07)                3.5
Oakland 47.13 Kansas City 49.52                0.61                3.0
San Diego 62.92 Carolina 60.16                5.76                3.0
St. Louis 59.79 Minnesota 58.60                4.19                2.5
Tennessee 58.14 NY Jets 58.48                2.66                1.5