Bias Free Sports computer predictions for opening playoff games

On now to the “second season” of the NFL, and we have run the computer projections for this weekend’s games. I am on the road, so I can’t post things the way I normally would, but you can get the full projections at http://www.biasfreerankings.com/NFL_Ratings.html.  Here, though is a brief summary of our picks for this weekend’s games:

Cincinnati @ Houston:  Cincy by 9.9 (I will be at this game)
Minnesota @ Green Bay: Green Bay by 5.2
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: Baltimore by 6.6
Seattle @ Washington: Seattle by 11.8

I feel most confident in the Baltimore and Green Bay games. Seattle and Washington are both hot teams right now, and Washington hasn’t had a home playoff game in a long time, so that place will be rocking. I could see that one going either way despite the large computer edge. Similarly, Cincinnati is coming to Houston on a hot streak while Houston is in a major funk. Strangely is similar to what happened last year as Houston lost its last three games entering the playoffs and still won by 21 over the Bengals in front of a ramped up crowd. So we shall see.

Today’s sports trivia:
Minnesota and Green Bay have played against each other 103 times in the regular season, but this weekend marks only the second time they have played each other in the postseason. The first, an opening round game in 2004, was won by the Vikings 31-17.

Week 4 NFL elimination pool pick

Could last week have gone any worse?  Anyone that had San Francisco, New Orleans, Green Bay or Detroit last week knows what I’m talking about. Did replacement refs have a lot to do with the upsets?  Probably only in Green Bay (and if you were eliminated because of that call, my heart goes out to you).  Since I’ve now been eliminated in both of my pools by unbelievable upsets, all I can do at this point is wish you luck and give you what my ratings say are the biggest spreads of potential victory under my computer system. Good luck!

This week, the top predicted winners are:

1.  Baltimore by 12.6 over Cleveland

2.  Houston by 11.54 over Tennessee

3. Atlanta by 9.72 over Carolina

4. Seattle by 8.56 over St. Louis

5. Arizona by 8.20 over Miami