Bias Free Sports NFL Championship Weekend Computer Predictions

Below are our computer predictions for the NFL championship games for this weekend.  Remember that a positive number means the home team is favored, and three points is added to the home team’s number for home field advantage.  You can see the complete NFL and NBA ratings at www.biasfreerankings.com.

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff
Atlanta 70.65 San Francisco 72.30  1.35
New England 76.13 Baltimore 67.76  11.37
Advertisements

Bias Free Sports NFL Division Playoff Computer Predictions

Below are Bias Free Sports computer predictions for the NFL Divisional Playoff Games.  A positive number means the home team is favored, while a negative number means the visiting team is favored.  To see the complete rankings for all NFL teams, go to www.biasfreerankings.com.

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff
Atlanta 70.38 Seattle 74.73             (1.34)
Denver 75.29 Baltimore 67.30             10.99
New England 76.59 Houston 68.28             11.32
San Francisco 72.28 Green Bay 70.35               4.93

Bias Free Sports computer predictions for opening playoff games

On now to the “second season” of the NFL, and we have run the computer projections for this weekend’s games. I am on the road, so I can’t post things the way I normally would, but you can get the full projections at http://www.biasfreerankings.com/NFL_Ratings.html.  Here, though is a brief summary of our picks for this weekend’s games:

Cincinnati @ Houston:  Cincy by 9.9 (I will be at this game)
Minnesota @ Green Bay: Green Bay by 5.2
Indianapolis @ Baltimore: Baltimore by 6.6
Seattle @ Washington: Seattle by 11.8

I feel most confident in the Baltimore and Green Bay games. Seattle and Washington are both hot teams right now, and Washington hasn’t had a home playoff game in a long time, so that place will be rocking. I could see that one going either way despite the large computer edge. Similarly, Cincinnati is coming to Houston on a hot streak while Houston is in a major funk. Strangely is similar to what happened last year as Houston lost its last three games entering the playoffs and still won by 21 over the Bengals in front of a ramped up crowd. So we shall see.

Today’s sports trivia:
Minnesota and Green Bay have played against each other 103 times in the regular season, but this weekend marks only the second time they have played each other in the postseason. The first, an opening round game in 2004, was won by the Vikings 31-17.

Bias Free Sports’ NFL computer predictions for Week 17

At last, the end of the regular season, and with it, some teams (and their fans) can finally be put out of their misery, like Arizona, Jacksonville, Kansas City and Buffalo.  The best part of the year, the playoffs, begins next week, and we’ll continue our computer predictions right through to the Super Bowl.  You can get all our NBA, NFL and NCAA football predictions for free (it’s not a subscription service trying to have you buy Vegas picks!) at www.biasfreerankings.com.  Here is what our computer spit out for this weekend’s NFL games (remember a positive number in the difference column means the home team is favored, a negative number means the visiting team is favored, and the home field advantage of 3 points is added in already):

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff  Line
Atlanta 71.11 Tampa Bay 53.32 20.79 5.0
Buffalo 55.01 NY Jets 56.04   1.97 3.0
Cincinnati 71.51 Baltimore 65.31   9.20 2.5
Denver 77.02 Kansas City 49.22 30.80 16.0
Detroit 52.38 Chicago 64.40 (9.01) (3.0)
Indianapolis 59.86 Houston 60.73  2.14 (6.5)
Minnesota 66.66 Green Bay 73.11 (3.44) (3.0)
New England 76.86 Miami 62.41 17.45 10.5
New Orleans 66.33 Carolina 66.71  2.62  4.5
NY Giants 63.15 Philadelphia 51.65 14.50  7.0
Pittsburgh 60.24 Cleveland 59.72  3.52 10.0
San Diego 60.17 Oakland 51.80 11.37 10.0
San Francisco 69.39 Arizona 51.43 20.96 16.5
Seattle 85.06 St. Louis 60.75 27.31 11.0
Tennessee 52.21 Jacksonville 48.30   6.91   4.0
Washington 69.46 Dallas 64.76  7.71   3.0

Bias Free Sports NFL Computer Predictions for Week 16

Here are Bias Free Sports’ computer predictions for Week 16 NFL games (remember that if the number in the difference column is positive, the home team is favored–if the number is negative, the visiting team is favored)–you can see all our NFL ratings (as well as NCAA bowl predictions and NBA predictions) by going to www.biasfreerankings.com:

Home Rating Visitor  Rating  Diff  Line
Detroit 53.13 Atlanta 70.21 (14.08) (3.5)
Arizona 51.13 Chicago 62.54 (8.41) (5.5)
Baltimore 62.20 NY Giants 67.65 (2.45) (2.5)
Carolina 65.09 Oakland 50.70 17.39 8.0
Dallas 65.44 New Orleans 65.67 2.78 3.0
Denver 75.75 Cleveland 60.70 18.05 13.5
Green Bay 65.13 Tennessee 56.27 11.86 12.5
Houston 65.92 Minnesota 61.51 7.41 7.5
Jacksonville 46.95 New England 79.81 (29.86) (14.5)
Kansas City 49.46 Indianapolis 60.73 (8.27) (6.5)
Miami 61.24 Buffalo 55.49 8.75 4.5
NY Jets 56.85 San Diego 56.70 3.15 2.5
Philadelphia 51.50 Washington 68.40 (13.90) (7.0)
Pittsburgh 60.03 Cincinnati 71.55 (8.52) 4.0
Seattle 79.78 San Francisco 74.17 8.62 (1.0)
Tampa Bay 57.65 St. Louis 59.25 1.40 3.0

Bias Free Sports NFL computer rankings

Here are Bias Free Sports’ computer rankings of each NFL team following Week 15 games–you can see the complete rankings at http://www.biasfreerankings.com:

ELO
Rating W L SOS
1 New England 76.806 10 4 62.224
2 Denver 73.745 11 3 61.599
3 San Francisco 73.376 10.5 3.5 62.746
4 Seattle 72.411 9 5 61.566
5 Atlanta 71.482 12 2 61.136
6 Houston 70.828 12 2 59.952
7 NY Giants 69.789 8 6 64.957
8 Chicago 68.845 8 6 62.860
9 Green Bay 67.548 10 4 61.722
10 Baltimore 66.473 9 5 62.621
11 Cincinnati 65.690 8 6 59.816
12 Washington 65.034 8 6 63.294
13 Dallas 63.506 8 6 64.034
14 New Orleans 63.155 6 8 62.878
15 Pittsburgh 62.845 7 7 61.099
16 Tampa Bay 62.736 6 8 62.775
17 Minnesota 62.650 8 6 60.773
18 Carolina 60.813 5 9 64.189
19 San Diego 60.750 5 9 62.179
20 Miami 60.448 6 8 61.818
21 St. Louis 58.464 6.5 7.5 63.893
22 NY Jets 58.435 6 8 63.702
23 Cleveland 58.155 5 9 60.973
24 Indianapolis 58.133 9 5 59.198
25 Detroit 57.638 4 10 61.540
26 Arizona 57.391 5 9 64.795
27 Buffalo 55.117 5 9 63.005
28 Philadelphia 52.813 4 10 63.165
29 Tennessee 52.738 5 9 60.539
30 Oakland 50.329 4 10 61.667
31 Kansas City 47.592 2 12 61.367
32 Jacksonville 47.017 2 12 60.552

Bias Free Sports NFL Picks for Week 11

We’ve turned on the computer at Bias Free Sports, and this is what it has spit out for predictions for this weekend’s NFL games (remember that a positive number in the difference column means the home team is favored, while a negative number means the visiting team is favored–same is true for the current line):

 Difference  Current
Home Rating Visitor  Rating  (H+HFA)-V  Line
Buffalo 35.5 Miami 33.0                  5.5                1.5
Atlanta 38.5 Arizona 32.5                  9.0                9.5
Carolina 38.0 Tampa Bay 40.5                  0.5             (1.0)
Dallas 38.0 Cleveland 35.5                  5.5                7.5
Denver 45.5 San Diego 37.5                11.0                7.5
Detroit 37.0 Green Bay 40.5                (0.5)             (3.0)
Houston 45.0 Jacksonville 30.0                18.0             15.0
Kansas City 30.0 Cincinnati 38.0                (5.0)             (3.5)
New England 44.0 Indianapolis 33.5                13.5                9.0
Oakland 31.0 New Orleans 40.0                (6.0)             (4.5)
Pittsburgh 38.0 Baltimore 39.0                  2.0             (3.5)
St. Louis 35.0 NY Jets 35.5                (0.5)                3.5
Washington 36.5 Philadelphia 33.5                  6.0                3.5
San Francisco 41.0 Chicago 44.5                (0.5)                6.0